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LATEST ODDS
2027 Oscars
Contender
Odds
1.
Christopher Nolan
94.2%
2.
Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
91.5%
3.
Martin McDonagh
73.9%
4.
Olivia Wilde
70.1%
5.
Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim
64.5%
6.
Denis Villeneuve
40.2%
7.
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
17.2%
8.
Alejandro G. Inarritu
7.2%
9.
Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
6.1%
10.
Jesse Eisenberg
5.4%
11.
Pawel Pawlikowski
4.6%
12.
Cristian Mungiu
3.0%
13.
Curry Barker
1.9%
14.
Lee Chang-dong
1.6%
15.
Luca Guadagnino
0.8%
16.
Mike Leigh
0.7%
17.
Beth de Araújo
0.6%
18.
Lance Oppenheim
0.3%
19.
David Fincher
0.3%
20.
Jane Schoenbrun
0.3%
21.
Kane Parsons
0.3%
22.
James Gray
0.2%
23.
Robert Eggers
0.2%
24.
Andrey Zvyagintsev
0.2%
25.
Peter Farrelly
0.2%
26.
Kent Jones
0.2%
27.
Georgia Oakley
0.1%
28.
Antoine Fuqua
0.1%
29.
David O. Russell
0.1%
30.
Arie Esiri, Chuko Esiri
0.1%
31.
Aleshea Harris
0.1%
32.
Tony Gilroy
0.1%
33.
Sian Heder
0.1%
34.
Lukas Dhont
0.1%
35.
Na Hong-jin
0.1%
36.
Steven Spielberg
0.1%
37.
May el-Toukhy
0.1%
38.
Pedro Almodovar
0.1%
39.
Alice Winocour
0.1%
40.
Guy Nattiv
--
41.
Danny Boyle
--
42.
Josef Kubota Wladyka
--
43.
Stephanie Ahn
--
44.
Sandra Wollner
--
45.
Emerald Fennell
--
46.
Tom McCarthy
--
47.
Olivier Assayas
--
48.
Florian Zeller
--
49.
Simon Stone
--
50.
Peter Berg
--
51.
La Gradiva
1-2
Marine Atlan
--
52.
Chris Rock
ABC
Chris Rock
--
53.
NEW YORK, NY - FEBRUARY 29: Theater director Jonathan Kent attends the Roundabout Theatre Company 2016 Spring Gala at The Waldorf-Astoria on February 29, 2016 in New York City. (Photo by Theo Wargo/Getty Images)
Theo Wargo/Getty Images
Jonathan Kent
--
54.
LOS ANGELES, CA - MARCH 08: Elvis Mitchell and Andrew Haigh attend the Film Independent at LACMA hosts a special screening of "Lean On Pete" at Bing Theater At LACMA on March 8, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Araya Diaz/Getty Images)
Araya Diaz/Getty Images
Andrew Haigh
--
55.
BERLIN, GERMANY - FEBRUARY 21: Markus Schleinzer attends the Award Ceremony Red Carpet of the 76th Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Berlinale Palast on February 21, 2026 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Sebastian Reuter/Getty Images)
Sebastian Reuter/Getty Images
Markus Schleinzer
--
56.
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 26: Director Susanna White attends The "Woman Walks Ahead" New York Screening at the Whitby Hotel on June 26, 2018 in New York City. (Photo by Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images)
Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images
Susanna White
--
57.
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - OCTOBER 16: Jennifer Peedom attends the Netflix Global premiere screening of "ONEFOUR: Against All Odds" during SXSW Sydney on October 16, 2023 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Don Arnold/Getty Images for Netflix)
Don Arnold/Getty Images
Jennifer Peedom
--
58.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 22: (L-R) Riz Ahmed, Bassam Tariq and Guz Khan attend the "Bait" Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Library Center Theatre on January 22, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
Bassam Tariq
--
59.
Never After Dark
Magnolia
Dave Boyle
--
60.
Steven Soderbergh
CHRIS CHEW/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Steven Soderbergh
--
61.
CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 17: Jordan Firstman attends the 2026 Kering Women in Motion Awards during the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Place de la Castre on May 17, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Jordan Firstman
--
62.
LONDON, ENGLAND - APRIL 22: David Frankel attends "The Devil Wears Prada 2" European Premiere inside Leicester Square on April 22, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
David Frankel
--
63.
Ridley Scott
Stewart Cook/Variety
Ridley Scott
--
64.
CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 16: Marie Kreutzer poses during the "Gentle Monster" photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 16, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Andreas Rentz/Getty Images)
Andreas Rentz/Getty Images
Marie Kreutzer
--
65.
Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
Brian Cox
--
66.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 17: Nicolas Winding Refn attends the premiere of Hideo Kojima: Connecting Worlds during the 2023 Tribeca Festival at Spring Studios on June 17, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by John Lamparski/Getty Images for Tribeca Festival)
John Lamparski/Getty Images
Nicolas Winding Refn
--
67.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 13: Boots Riley attends the Los Angeles premiere of Neon's "I Love Boosters" at DGA Theater Complex on May 13, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
Kevin Winter/Getty Images
Boots Riley
--
68.
VENICE, ITALY - AUGUST 31: Julian Schnabel attends the amfAR Gala Venezia 2025 presented by World Gold Council at Arsenale on August 31, 2025 in Venice, Italy. (Photo by Victor Boyko/Getty Images for amfAR)
Victor Boyko/Getty Images
Julian Schnabel
--
69.
LONDON, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 21: Kirk Jones and Cindy Jones attend the 2026 EE BAFTA Film Awards Nominees' Party at the National Gallery on February 21, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
Kirk Jones
--
70.
Taika Waititi photographed for the Variety Playback Podcast at the PMC Studio in Los Angeles.
Dan Doperalski for Variety
Taika Waititi
--
71.
david lowery
Michael Buckner/Variety
David Lowery
--
72.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 24: (L-R) Eleanor Wilson and Alex Huston Fischer attend the "Wicker" Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 24, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
Alex Huston Fischer, Eleanor Wilson
--
73.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 27: Noah Segan attends "The Only Living Pickpocket In New York" Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 27, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
Noah Segan
--
74.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 17: Director Anthony Maras attends the "Hotel Mumbai" New York Screening at Museum of Modern Art on March 17, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)
Noam Galai/Getty Images
Anthony Maras
--
75.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - APRIL 13: Aaron Sorkin attends CinemaCon 2026- Opening Night and Sony Pictures Entertainment Presentation at The Dolby Colosseum at Caesars Palace during CinemaCon, the official convention of Cinema United, on April 13, 2026, in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Monica Schipper/Getty Images for CinemaCon)
Monica Schipper/Getty Images
Aaron Sorkin
--
76.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 20: Anton Corbijn attends Stacy’s Roots to Rise Market at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival in Park City, UT on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for Stacy's Pita Chips)
Presley Ann/Getty Images
Anton Corbijn
--
77.
BERLIN, GERMANY - FEBRUARY 17: Director Matt Johnson poses at the "BlackBerry" photocall during the 73rd Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Grand Hyatt Hotel on February 17, 2023 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Gerald Matzka/Getty Images)
Gerald Matzka/Getty Images
Matt Johnson
--
78.
Daniel Roher
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Daniel Roher
--
79.
HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 10: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, winners of Original Screenplay award for 'Anatomy of Fall' pose in the press room during the 96th Annual Academy Awards at Ovation Hollywood on March 10, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images
Arthur Harari
--
80.
Paul Greengrass
Maarten de Boer for Variety
Paul Greengrass
--
81.
Michael Showalter
Clint Spaulding
Michael Showalter
--
82.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 25: (L-R) Julia Jones, Ethan Hawke, Padraic McKinley and Austin Amelio attend The Vulture Spot At The 2026 Sundance Film Festivalon January 25, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Robin Marchant/Getty Images for Vulture)
Robin Marchant/Getty Images
Padraic McKinley
--
83.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 18: Brian Duffield attends the No One Will Save You FYC Event at Linwood Dunn Theater in [Hollywood], California on May 18, 2024. (Photo by Jesse Grant/Getty Images for 20th Century Studios)